FROM CHIEF METEOROLOGIST SPENCER DENTON
Updated 6:00 PM Tuesday
FIRST THINGS FIRST…temperatures are going to get warmer before they get colder. Highs will top 70º in most areas Wednesday ahead of a powerful cold front. But we probably we see record-breaking temps since our record is 79º set back in 1998. Thursday will likely be similar with highs in the upper 60′s to low 70′s, even with periods of rain.
SPEAKING OF RAIN…we could see up to 2 inches of rain or more by Saturday morning as the cold front settles in across Alabama. Lots of moisture will come out of the Gulf to provide plenty of rain to end the week, mainly Thursday night into Friday.
WHAT ABOUT WINTRY OR FROZEN PRECIPITATION? This is a snapshot of our Baron Forecast Model Friday afternoon. It shows a nasty mess of ice, sleet and snow to our west and northwest. If the arctic air at the surface slides into northwest AL and southern TN, you could get in on the act as the moisture exits late Friday evening. There will be a major contrast in temps with much colder air near Waynesboro, TN and Florence to warmer air in east AL around Ft. Payne. It will warm back up in time for the next round of precip Sunday and Monday but could end as a few flakes Monday night. This forecast is tricky since we will barely be in the warmer sector of this system, so changes are likely.
Despite the dreary and misty conditions over the past couple days the Tn Valley has not received that much in the way of rainfall. A trace here and there is pretty much it. The heavier rain events come late week and linger into much of the weekend. For more on your weekend outlook scroll down.
The remainder of the afternoon should stay relatively dry but still under an overcast sky. Some light rain/patchy drizzle possible later tonight under cloudy and mild conditions. Temp will linger in the 50′s tonight so a bit milder than last night.
This unsettled weather pattern will likely continue for the next 7 days yielding limited amounts of sunshine. Expect a wet and dismal week this week with the heavier rain events arriving Thursday and Friday ahead of our next incoming cold front. The aformentioned front will also bring cooler temps by the wknd. Also to note, it is likely any Friday Night Football games will be wet or rained out so keep tuned in to our weather blog/site for updates.
Have a great Tuesday!
FROM METEOROLOGIST MERRY PERRY:
Temps are slowly creeping back to normal for the TN Valley as we’ve enjoyed highs today mainly in the 50′s. Avg this time of year is around 57°. This mild weather will be with us at least for the next week. Some areas may even hit that 70 degree mark on Wed just before our next incoming cold front that will spark showers for Wed night/Thursday/and the first part of Friday. As of right now, it looks like most of the shower activity will be out of here by Friday Night Football games.
TONIGHT: Won’t be as cold tonight. Most areas will bottom out barely above that freezing mark under a mainly clear night sky. Ovn Low around 35°
TOMORROW: May have to dodge a few showers tomorrow (mainly west of I-65/North of the TN River) but not until later in the day which means if you have outdoor work to get done…the earlier the better. With such dry air in place at the surface and little help from the southerly winds I think most of us will stay dry tomorrow and Monday. Specific Forecast below.
Sunday: Increasing Clouds Late. High 56. Low 37
Monday: Mostly Cloudy. 20%Ch of Rain. High 55
Monday Night: Decreasing Clouds. Low 42
Tuesday: Mostly Sunny. High 67. Low 43
A very frigid start to the morning. We are trending anywhere from 18-24° below avg for this time of year. Normal ovn lows are around 38° while normal highs during the day are around 58°.
TONIGHT/BLACK FRIDAY: Temps in the 20′s during ovn/early mng hours. Low 50′s for highs. LAYERS! Bundle up!
WEEKEND: Weekend looks great! If you will be at the Iron Bowl….expect temperature highs in the mid-low 50′s during the day but falling into the 30′s that night. No rain. Fair Skies all weekend!
EARLY NEXT WEEK: Rain enters the forecast by Monday afternoon but at this time, only a 30% chance with no severe weather expected.
Mild conditions will hold steady for much of next week with temp highs in the 50′s during the day and 30′s at night. A fairly nice chance of rain for Wed night and into Thursday. Weather looks to be mainly clear and seasonal for next weekend.
Have a great evening and Happy T-giving!
TONIGHT will be yet another cold one as temps drop well below freezing yet again. Southern Mid Tn and extreme North West Alabama will likely feel temps in the upper teens while the rest of us will hover in the low 20′s.
THANKSGIVING: Thanksgiving looks beautiful. It will be CHILLY as highs will only be in the 40′s, but skies will be crystal clear and sunny!
BLACK FRIDAY: Temps in the 20′s during the early mng hours. 40′s/low50′s for highs. LAYERS! Bundle up!
WEEKEND: Weekend looks great! If you will be at the Iron Bowl….expect temperature highs in the mid-low 50′s during the day but falling into the 30′s that night. No rain. Fair Skies all wknd!
EARLY NEXT WEEK: Rain enters the forecast by Monday aftn but at this time, only a 30% chance with no severe wx expected.
THANKSGIVING: Mostly Sunny. High 44. Low 33
FRIDAY: Sunny. High 53. Low 30
SATURDAY: Mostly Sunny. High 55. Low 32
SUNDAY: Partly Sunny. Increasing Clouds Late Evening. High 56
Have a great evening!