Our friends in the southern and central Plains have certainly dealt with their share of severe weather over the course of the past few days. This system will continue to move east, but will weaken as it does so. While there is a chance for strong to severe storms across the Tennessee Valley through tomorrow, we are NOT forecasting a widespread severe weather outbreak.
As of this late-morning (Tuesday) update, the Storm Prediction Center has included all of north AL and southern TN in their “Slight Risk” area for today. (A “Slight Risk” of severe weather means that there is an elevated risk of strong to severe storms. A “Moderate Risk” takes on a greater sense of urgency.)
While we are certainly on the outskirts of this risk area, I encourage you to remain weather aware for today. The highest threat for severe storms is to our west, but we may see some strong, isolated thunderstorms today, especially across Middle TN and southern Middle TN.
As of just before lunchtime, our friends in Oklahoma, Texas, and Arkansas are already dealing with strong to severe storms. Here’s a snapshot of the radar as of 11:50 AM:
As I mentioned earlier, Wayne county, Lawrence county, and points off to the east have the higher risk for embedded strong to severe storms today. Most of N AL, especially south of the TN River will stay dry.
Locally, heat and humidity have been the big stories for today. Highs will top out in the mid to upper 80s this afternoon, and with dew points in the 70s across many areas, expect to sweat very quickly if you’ll be out and about. There is certainly a SOUPY feel to air!
For Wednesday, we’re forecasting widely scattered showers and storms, some of which could be strong to severe. As of this update, we are not included in the “Slight Risk” area for tomorrow, but that could change.
I encourage you to remain weather aware going into Wednesday but do not expect the widespread severe event our friends in the Plains have had to deal with.
Showers and storms will move out by Wednesday evening, as the front moves through the Valley, but with the front still in the vicinity on Thursday, expect a slight chance for showers and storms on Thursday afternoon (mainly south of the TN River and east of I-65).
We’ll see a dry (and less humid) weekend.
Here’s a look at your 7-Day Forecast: